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Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: prediction and statistics
Europe · Nations League · 28 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Romania 5.1, Bosnia and Herzegovina 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 42% (typical match — 42%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 56%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Romania 1.6, Bosnia and Herzegovina 2.8; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 64%, typical match 63%.
Result
Market line without margin: Romania win 45%, draw 28%, Bosnia and Herzegovina win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Romania: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 4 wins in a row · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
Bosnia and Herzegovina: last five matches — D-W-D-D-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · away
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches without a win · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Romania at home and Bosnia and Herzegovina away, 2024–2026.
| Romania | Bosnia and Herzegovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 13 |
| Win rate | 62% | 23% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 54% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 54% | 23% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Romania won 1, 0 draws, Bosnia and Herzegovina won 3. Per match: 2.8 goals, 8.3 corners, 4.5 yellow cards.
- 15.11.2025: Bosnia and Herzegovina 3:1 Romania
- 21.03.2025: Romania 0:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina
- 26.09.2022: Romania 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Our model expects 9.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 42%.
How many yellow cards in Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 45%.
Who is more likely to win Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Market line without margin: Romania 45%, draw 28%, Bosnia and Herzegovina 27%.