Rostov vs Krylia Sovetov: prediction and statistics

Russia · Premier League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off 16:30 UTC

Before kick-off

Premier League, 20 November 2026: Rostov are at home to Krylia Sovetov. They are neighbours in the table: Rostov are 6th and Krylia Sovetov 7th of 16.

Recent results of Rostov are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games. Krylia Sovetov are unbeaten in the last 5 matches: 2 wins and 3 draws. In points that is almost level: 9 against 9.

At home (2024/25–2026/27) Rostov have 11 wins, 11 draws and 13 defeats in 35 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Krylia Sovetov — 6 wins, 11 draws and 19 defeats in 36 away matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.8 on average.

Head to head there is no clear master over 22 meetings — wins: Rostov 11, Krylia Sovetov 8; draws: 3. The most recent meeting, on 23 November 2025, finished Krylia Sovetov 2:0 Rostov. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.

Form

Rostov: last five matches — L-L-W-W-W.

5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
3 wins in a row · at home
3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home

Krylia Sovetov: last five matches — W-D-D-D-W.

8 matches unbeaten · away
5 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away

Table: Rostov — 6, Krylia Sovetov — 7 (of 16).

Home and away record

Rostov at home and Krylia Sovetov away, 2024/25–2026/27.

	Rostov	Krylia Sovetov
Matches	35	36
Wins · draws · losses	11-11-13	6-11-19
Goals scored per match	1.1	1.1
Goals conceded per match	1.1	1.8

Head to head

22 meetings in our database: Rostov won 11, 3 draws, Krylia Sovetov won 8. Per match: 2.5 goals.

23.11.2025: Krylia Sovetov 2:0 Rostov
02.08.2025: Rostov 1:4 Krylia Sovetov
07.12.2024: Rostov 3:1 Krylia Sovetov

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Open in the app →Download for Android

Key facts

Rostov is the more likely winner in our model: 51%, draw 24%.
Over 2.5 goals happened in 31% of Rostov’s home matches and 50% of Krylia Sovetov’s away matches over three seasons.
Our model expects more corners from Rostov: 5.5 against 3.7 for Krylia Sovetov.

Corners

56%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Rostov 5.5, Krylia Sovetov 3.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 47%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 56%, typical match 53%.

Yellow cards

54%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Rostov 2.0, Krylia Sovetov 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 50%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 50%.

Result

Our model: Rostov win 51%, draw 24%, Krylia Sovetov win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 53%.

Team statistics for three seasons

	Rostov	Krylia Sovetov
Win rate	31%	17%
Over 2.5 goals	31%	50%
Both teams score	46%	53%
Total corners per match	8.2	8.4
Over 9.5 corners	37%	19%
Total yellow cards per match	4.3	4.9
Over 4.5 yellow cards	37%	53%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 8.4 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.2 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.