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Saint Etienne vs Rodez: prediction and statistics
France · Ligue 2 · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Saint Etienne 5.3, Rodez 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Saint Etienne 1.7, Rodez 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 33% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 67%, typical match 66%.
Result
Market line without margin: Saint Etienne win 64%, draw 21%, Rodez win 15%. Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Saint Etienne: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 11 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 10 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 wins in a row · at home
Rodez: last five matches — D-L-L-W-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Saint Etienne — 1, Rodez — 14 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Saint Etienne at home and Rodez away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Saint Etienne | Rodez | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 21 | 39 |
| Win rate | 67% | 31% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 62% |
| Both teams score | 48% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 9.4 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 38% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 21% |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Saint Etienne won 2, 3 draws, Rodez won 4. Per match: 2.8 goals, 10.9 corners, 3.6 yellow cards.
- 15.05.2026: Saint Etienne 0:0 Rodez
- 02.05.2026: Rodez 2:1 Saint Etienne
- 16.08.2025: Saint Etienne 4:0 Rodez
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.
How many yellow cards in Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 33%.
Who is more likely to win Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
Market line without margin: Saint Etienne 64%, draw 21%, Rodez 15%.