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San Diego vs Houston Dynamo: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 15 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: San Diego 5.4, Houston Dynamo 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 53%, typical match 46%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: San Diego 2.1, Houston Dynamo 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 65%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: San Diego win 49%, draw 25%, Houston Dynamo win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 61%.
Form
San Diego: last five matches — W-W-W-L-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Houston Dynamo: last five matches — W-W-L-D-L.
- 3 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: San Diego — 20, Houston Dynamo — 9 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
San Diego at home and Houston Dynamo away, 2024–2026.
| San Diego | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 48 |
| Win rate | 46% | 35% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | 10.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 54% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 57% | 56% |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: San Diego won 1, 0 draws, Houston Dynamo won 2. Per match: 4.7 goals, 6.3 corners, 5.3 yellow cards.
- 23.04.2026: Houston Dynamo 1:0 San Diego
- 05.10.2025: Houston Dynamo 2:4 San Diego
- 06.07.2025: San Diego 3:4 Houston Dynamo
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.
How many yellow cards in San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 46%.
Who is more likely to win San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?
Market line without margin: San Diego 49%, draw 25%, Houston Dynamo 27%.