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San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.7 corners in the match: San Jose Earthquakes 6.5, Portland Timbers 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 63% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 50%, typical match 42%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: San Jose Earthquakes 2.1, Portland Timbers 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: San Jose Earthquakes win 45%, draw 25%, Portland Timbers win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 66%.
Form
San Jose Earthquakes: last five matches — D-L-L-W-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Portland Timbers: last five matches — W-L-L-D-L.
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 4 matches without a win · away
Table: San Jose Earthquakes — 9, Portland Timbers — 19 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
San Jose Earthquakes at home and Portland Timbers away, 2024–2026.
| San Jose Earthquakes | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 47 | 49 |
| Win rate | 30% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 68% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 11.5 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 68% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 51% |
Head to head
40 meetings in our database: San Jose Earthquakes won 8, 10 draws, Portland Timbers won 22. Per match: 2.8 goals, 9.9 corners, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 24.05.2026: Portland Timbers 1:3 San Jose Earthquakes
- 14.06.2025: Portland Timbers 1:1 San Jose Earthquakes
- 21.05.2025: San Jose Earthquakes 0:0 Portland Timbers
Referee
Lorenzo Hernandez: 33 matches in our database, 4.5 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.2); over 4.5 cards in 55% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
Our model expects 10.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 63%.
How many yellow cards in San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.
Who is more likely to win San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
Market line without margin: San Jose Earthquakes 45%, draw 25%, Portland Timbers 30%.