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Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Santos Laguna 5.3, CF Pachuca 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 62%, typical match 61%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Santos Laguna 2.3, CF Pachuca 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 68%, typical match 66%.
Result
Market line without margin: Santos Laguna win 29%, draw 27%, CF Pachuca win 44%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Santos Laguna: last five matches — W-L-L-D-W.
- 7 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
CF Pachuca: last five matches — L-W-D-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Santos Laguna — 17, CF Pachuca — 11 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Santos Laguna at home and CF Pachuca away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Santos Laguna | CF Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 44 |
| Win rate | 34% | 34% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 11.1 | 9.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 61% | 52% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 58% | 55% |
Head to head
22 meetings in our database: Santos Laguna won 3, 8 draws, CF Pachuca won 11. Per match: 3.0 goals, 10.9 corners, 4.0 yellow cards.
- 12.04.2026: CF Pachuca 4:2 Santos Laguna
- 09.11.2025: Santos Laguna 1:0 CF Pachuca
- 21.01.2025: CF Pachuca 2:1 Santos Laguna
Referee
Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez: 185 matches in our database, 4.6 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.4); over 4.5 cards in 51% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.
How many yellow cards in Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 50%.
Who is more likely to win Santos Laguna vs CF Pachuca?
Market line without margin: Santos Laguna 29%, draw 27%, CF Pachuca 44%.