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Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Seattle Sounders 5.4, Minnesota United FC 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Seattle Sounders 1.7, Minnesota United FC 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 68%, typical match 62%.
Result
Market line without margin: Seattle Sounders win 42%, draw 26%, Minnesota United FC win 32%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
Seattle Sounders: last five matches — L-L-D-D-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
Minnesota United FC: last five matches — D-D-W-L-L.
- 9 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Seattle Sounders — 20, Minnesota United FC — 23 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Seattle Sounders at home and Minnesota United FC away, 2024–2026.
| Seattle Sounders | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 51 |
| Win rate | 50% | 41% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 65% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46% | 49% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 20% |
Head to head
23 meetings in our database: Seattle Sounders won 15, 5 draws, Minnesota United FC won 3. Per match: 2.8 goals, 11.3 corners, 3.4 yellow cards.
- 22.03.2026: Minnesota United FC 0:0 Seattle Sounders
- 08.11.2025: Minnesota United FC 3:3 Seattle Sounders
- 04.11.2025: Seattle Sounders 4:2 Minnesota United FC
Referee
Bensalah: no matches of this referee in our database yet.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC?
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 32%.
Who is more likely to win Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC?
Market line without margin: Seattle Sounders 42%, draw 26%, Minnesota United FC 32%.