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Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 2 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Seattle Sounders 5.5, Sporting Kansas City 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Seattle Sounders 1.7, Sporting Kansas City 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 29% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 52%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: Seattle Sounders win 64%, draw 20%, Sporting Kansas City win 16%. Over 2.5 goals — 72%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
Seattle Sounders: last five matches — L-L-D-D-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
Sporting Kansas City: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 5 losses in a row · away
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Seattle Sounders — 20, Sporting Kansas City — 30 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Seattle Sounders at home and Sporting Kansas City away, 2024–2026.
| Seattle Sounders | Sporting Kansas City | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 46 |
| Win rate | 50% | 15% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 9.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46% | 41% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 22% |
Head to head
28 meetings in our database: Seattle Sounders won 11, 6 draws, Sporting Kansas City won 11. Per match: 2.8 goals, 9.2 corners, 3.6 yellow cards.
- 02.05.2026: Sporting Kansas City 1:1 Seattle Sounders
- 25.08.2025: Seattle Sounders 5:2 Sporting Kansas City
- 13.07.2025: Sporting Kansas City 2:3 Seattle Sounders
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.
How many yellow cards in Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 29%.
Who is more likely to win Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City?
Market line without margin: Seattle Sounders 64%, draw 20%, Sporting Kansas City 16%.