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Shaita vs Borough: prediction and statistics
Liberia · LFA First Division · 4 November 2026 · kick-off
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 46% of Shaita home games and 64% of Borough away games.
Result
Final score 1:2.
Result
Our model: Shaita win 47%, draw 23%, Borough win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Shaita: last five matches — W-D-L-W-D.
Borough: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.
- 3 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches without a win · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Shaita at home and Borough away, 2023–2025.
| Shaita | Borough | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 14 |
| Win rate | 15% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 64% |
| Both teams score | 39% | 64% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Shaita vs Borough?
Our model: Shaita 47%, draw 23%, Borough 30%.