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Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln: prediction and statistics
England · Championship · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Sheffield Utd 5.6, Lincoln 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Sheffield Utd 1.7, Lincoln 2.6; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 33%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 63%, typical match 52%.
Result
Market line without margin: Sheffield Utd win 47%, draw 27%, Lincoln win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Sheffield Utd: last five matches — W-D-W-L-L.
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Lincoln: last five matches — W-W-L-W-W.
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Sheffield Utd — 18, Lincoln — 13 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Sheffield Utd at home and Lincoln away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Sheffield Utd | Lincoln | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 4 |
| Win rate | 50% | 75% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 25% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 25% |
| Total corners per match | 11.1 | 15.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 100% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 25% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Sheffield Utd won 0, 0 draws, Lincoln won 1. Per match: 5.0 goals.
- 30.08.2023: Sheffield Utd 2:3 Lincoln
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 44%.
Who is more likely to win Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln?
Market line without margin: Sheffield Utd 47%, draw 27%, Lincoln 26%.