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Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk: prediction and statistics
Russia · First League · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.6 corners in the match: Shinnik Yaroslavl 5.1, Ska-khabarovsk 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 49% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 62%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.6, Ska-khabarovsk 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 29% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 71%, typical match 51%.
Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl: last five matches — D-D-W-D-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Ska-khabarovsk: last five matches — L-L-W-D-D.
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Shinnik Yaroslavl — 9, Ska-khabarovsk — 18 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Shinnik Yaroslavl at home and Ska-khabarovsk away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Ska-khabarovsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 41 |
| Win rate | 35% | 24% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 23% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | 11.0 | 8.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 20% | 24% |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: Shinnik Yaroslavl won 5, 3 draws, Ska-khabarovsk won 7. Per match: 2.2 goals, 2.6 yellow cards.
- 26.04.2026: Shinnik Yaroslavl 3:0 Ska-khabarovsk
- 05.10.2025: Ska-khabarovsk 3:1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
- 09.03.2025: Shinnik Yaroslavl 0:1 Ska-khabarovsk
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Our model expects 9.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 49%.
How many yellow cards in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 29%.