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Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Bashkimi Kumanovo: prediction and statistics
North Macedonia · First League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Shkëndija Haraçinë · Bashkimi Kumanovo
Before kick-off
Shkëndija Haraçinë host Bashkimi Kumanovo in First League on 20 November 2026. In the standings Shkëndija Haraçinë are 5th and Bashkimi Kumanovo 8th out of 10 teams. Bashkimi Kumanovo are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Shkëndija Haraçinë have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Bashkimi Kumanovo are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Measured in points the two runs are close — 5 and 4.
Home matches have been a struggle for Shkëndija Haraçinë (2024/25–2026/27) — 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats in 6 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 on average. Away from home Bashkimi Kumanovo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 12 defeats in 23 matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.9 per game.
History favours Shkëndija Haraçinë — 3 wins from 3 meetings with Bashkimi Kumanovo. Last time out (28 October 2026) it ended Bashkimi Kumanovo 0:2 Shkëndija Haraçinë. On average these meetings produce 2.3 goals.
Form
Shkëndija Haraçinë: last five matches — L-W-D-L-D.
- 8 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Bashkimi Kumanovo: last five matches — W-L-D-L-L.
- 4 matches without a win · away
Table: Shkëndija Haraçinë — 5, Bashkimi Kumanovo — 8 (of 10).
Home and away record
Shkëndija Haraçinë at home and Bashkimi Kumanovo away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Shkëndija Haraçinë | Bashkimi Kumanovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 23 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 1-3-2 | 7-4-12 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.9 |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Shkëndija Haraçinë won 3, 0 draws, Bashkimi Kumanovo won 0. Per match: 2.3 goals.
- 28.10.2026: Bashkimi Kumanovo 0:2 Shkëndija Haraçinë
- 30.08.2026: Bashkimi Kumanovo 1:2 Shkëndija Haraçinë
- 25.01.2025: Shkëndija Haraçinë 2:0 Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Shkëndija Haraçinë has won 3 of the last 3 meetings with Bashkimi Kumanovo.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 0% of Shkëndija Haraçinë home games and 52% of Bashkimi Kumanovo away games.
- Our model makes Shkëndija Haraçinë the favourite at 65%; a draw is 20%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Shkëndija Haraçinë 2.3, Bashkimi Kumanovo 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 53% (typical match — 62%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 71%, typical match 78%.
Result
Our model: Shkëndija Haraçinë win 65%, draw 20%, Bashkimi Kumanovo win 16%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 54%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Shkëndija Haraçinë | Bashkimi Kumanovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 17% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 3.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 30% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.