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Sport Recife vs São Bernardo: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 6 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.7 corners in the match: Sport Recife 6.2, São Bernardo 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 63% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 51%, typical match 46%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Sport Recife 2.0, São Bernardo 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 53%, typical match 46%.
Form
Sport Recife: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 10 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
São Bernardo: last five matches — D-L-W-W-D.
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Sport Recife — 9, São Bernardo — 11 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Sport Recife at home and São Bernardo away, 2024–2026.
| Sport Recife | São Bernardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 15 |
| Win rate | 56% | 53% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 68% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 53% | 73% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 6.1 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 68% | 40% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Sport Recife won 0, 1 draws, São Bernardo won 0. Per match: 0.0 goals, 14.0 corners, 3.0 yellow cards.
- 14.06.2026: São Bernardo 0:0 Sport Recife
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?
Our model expects 10.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 63%.
How many yellow cards in Sport Recife vs São Bernardo?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 47%.