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Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Sporting Kansas City 5.5, Portland Timbers 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 56%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Sporting Kansas City 1.9, Portland Timbers 1.8; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 31% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 69%, typical match 62%.
Result
Market line without margin: Sporting Kansas City win 40%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers win 37%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 69%.
Form
Sporting Kansas City: last five matches — L-D-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Portland Timbers: last five matches — L-L-D-L-L.
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Sporting Kansas City — 30, Portland Timbers — 21 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Sporting Kansas City at home and Portland Timbers away, 2024–2026.
| Sporting Kansas City | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 47 | 50 |
| Win rate | 28% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 72% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 9.7 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43% | 52% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 50% |
Head to head
30 meetings in our database: Sporting Kansas City won 7, 9 draws, Portland Timbers won 14. Per match: 2.8 goals, 9.2 corners, 4.3 yellow cards.
- 10.05.2026: Portland Timbers 6:0 Sporting Kansas City
- 11.05.2025: Portland Timbers 1:0 Sporting Kansas City
- 13.04.2025: Sporting Kansas City 2:4 Portland Timbers
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 31%.
Who is more likely to win Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
Market line without margin: Sporting Kansas City 40%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers 37%.