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Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno: prediction and statistics
Paraguay · Primera División · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Sportivo Ameliano · Sportivo Luqueno
Before kick-off
Primera División, 20 November 2026: Sportivo Ameliano are at home to Sportivo Luqueno. Sportivo Ameliano go into the match 7th of 12 in the table, Sportivo Luqueno are 10th. Sportivo Luqueno are in the bottom three.
Sportivo Ameliano are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. Results have gone against Sportivo Luqueno recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. In points that is almost level: 3 against 4.
At home (2024–2026) Sportivo Ameliano have 21 wins, 17 draws and 26 defeats in 64 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The away record of Sportivo Luqueno: 18 wins, 18 draws and 28 defeats in 64 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 16 meetings — wins: Sportivo Ameliano 7, Sportivo Luqueno 4; draws: 5. The most recent meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Sportivo Luqueno 1:2 Sportivo Ameliano. On average these meetings produce 2.2 goals.
Form
Sportivo Ameliano: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.
- 9 matches without a win · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · all competitions
Sportivo Luqueno: last five matches — L-D-L-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Sportivo Ameliano — 7, Sportivo Luqueno — 10 (of 12).
Home and away record
Sportivo Ameliano at home and Sportivo Luqueno away, 2024–2026.
| Sportivo Ameliano | Sportivo Luqueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 64 | 64 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 21-17-26 | 18-18-28 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Sportivo Ameliano won 7, 5 draws, Sportivo Luqueno won 4. Per match: 2.2 goals.
- 06.09.2026: Sportivo Luqueno 1:2 Sportivo Ameliano
- 05.04.2026: Sportivo Ameliano 2:2 Sportivo Luqueno
- 06.02.2026: Sportivo Luqueno 0:1 Sportivo Ameliano
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 37% – 26% – 37%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 39% of Sportivo Ameliano’s home matches and 50% of Sportivo Luqueno’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.5 corners in the match: Sportivo Ameliano 4.5, Sportivo Luqueno 5.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 48% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 61%, typical match 60%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Sportivo Ameliano 2.1, Sportivo Luqueno 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 53%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 48%.
Result
Our model: Sportivo Ameliano win 37%, draw 26%, Sportivo Luqueno win 37%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Sportivo Ameliano | Sportivo Luqueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 41% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 10.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 55% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 58% | 39% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.8 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.