Xpect
Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani: prediction and statistics
Paraguay · Primera División · 25 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Sportivo Luqueno 4.8, Club Guarani 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 56%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Sportivo Luqueno 2.4, Club Guarani 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 53%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: Sportivo Luqueno win 31%, draw 29%, Club Guarani win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Sportivo Luqueno: last five matches — L-L-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Club Guarani: last five matches — W-D-D-D-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Sportivo Luqueno — 10, Club Guarani — 7 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
Sportivo Luqueno at home and Club Guarani away, 2024–2026.
| Sportivo Luqueno | Club Guarani | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 60 | 60 |
| Win rate | 32% | 43% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | 8.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 63% | 47% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 56% | 48% |
Head to head
39 meetings in our database: Sportivo Luqueno won 12, 2 draws, Club Guarani won 25. Per match: 3.0 goals, 9.3 corners, 4.0 yellow cards.
- 26.07.2026: Club Guarani 1:2 Sportivo Luqueno
- 18.04.2026: Club Guarani 2:1 Sportivo Luqueno
- 23.02.2026: Sportivo Luqueno 3:2 Club Guarani
Referee
Blas Romero: 55 matches in our database, 4.4 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.7); over 4.5 cards in 40% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani?
Our model expects 9.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 44%.
How many yellow cards in Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.
Who is more likely to win Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Guarani?
Market line without margin: Sportivo Luqueno 31%, draw 29%, Club Guarani 41%.