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Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno: prediction and statistics
Paraguay · Primera División · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Sportivo Trinidense 5.0, Cerro Porteno 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 57%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Sportivo Trinidense 2.3, Cerro Porteno 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 53%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 47%.
Result
Market line without margin: Sportivo Trinidense win 30%, draw 30%, Cerro Porteno win 40%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Sportivo Trinidense: last five matches — W-D-L-L-L.
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 3 losses in a row · at home
Cerro Porteno: last five matches — L-D-L-W-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Sportivo Trinidense — 6, Cerro Porteno — 3 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
Sportivo Trinidense at home and Cerro Porteno away, 2024–2026.
| Sportivo Trinidense | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 60 | 59 |
| Win rate | 40% | 49% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 58% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 8.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 38% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 63% |
Head to head
19 meetings in our database: Sportivo Trinidense won 5, 3 draws, Cerro Porteno won 11. Per match: 2.8 goals, 7.7 corners, 3.2 yellow cards.
- 24.07.2026: Cerro Porteno 1:2 Sportivo Trinidense
- 15.05.2026: Sportivo Trinidense 3:1 Cerro Porteno
- 14.03.2026: Cerro Porteno 2:1 Sportivo Trinidense
Referee
Derlis Lopez: 100 matches in our database, 5.2 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.7); over 4.5 cards in 61% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?
Our model expects 9.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 44%.
How many yellow cards in Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 45%.
Who is more likely to win Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?
Market line without margin: Sportivo Trinidense 30%, draw 30%, Cerro Porteno 40%.