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St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: St. Louis City 5.4, Los Angeles Galaxy 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 61%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: St. Louis City 2.1, Los Angeles Galaxy 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 65%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: St. Louis City win 59%, draw 22%, Los Angeles Galaxy win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
St. Louis City: last five matches — D-W-D-W-W.
- 19 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Los Angeles Galaxy: last five matches — L-D-L-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: St. Louis City — 3, Los Angeles Galaxy — 15 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
St. Louis City at home and Los Angeles Galaxy away, 2024–2026.
| St. Louis City | Los Angeles Galaxy | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 47 | 49 |
| Win rate | 40% | 22% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 66% | 71% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 10.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 64% | 59% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 49% | 41% |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: St. Louis City won 4, 4 draws, Los Angeles Galaxy won 3. Per match: 4.0 goals, 10.0 corners, 5.0 yellow cards.
- 23.07.2026: Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3 St. Louis City
- 11.02.2026: Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0 St. Louis City
- 14.06.2025: St. Louis City 3:3 Los Angeles Galaxy
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 52%.
How many yellow cards in St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 46%.
Who is more likely to win St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Market line without margin: St. Louis City 59%, draw 22%, Los Angeles Galaxy 19%.