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St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 15 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: St. Louis City 5.1, Vancouver Whitecaps 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 50%, typical match 46%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: St. Louis City 2.1, Vancouver Whitecaps 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 63%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: St. Louis City win 34%, draw 25%, Vancouver Whitecaps win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
St. Louis City: last five matches — D-W-D-W-W.
- 19 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Vancouver Whitecaps: last five matches — W-W-L-W-L.
- 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: St. Louis City — 3, Vancouver Whitecaps — 2 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
St. Louis City at home and Vancouver Whitecaps away, 2024–2026.
| St. Louis City | Vancouver Whitecaps | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 47 | 51 |
| Win rate | 40% | 43% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 66% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 64% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 49% | 53% |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: St. Louis City won 2, 2 draws, Vancouver Whitecaps won 4. Per match: 3.5 goals, 10.3 corners, 4.6 yellow cards.
- 06.09.2026: Vancouver Whitecaps 1:3 St. Louis City
- 24.08.2025: Vancouver Whitecaps 3:2 St. Louis City
- 20.04.2025: St. Louis City 0:0 Vancouver Whitecaps
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 50%.
How many yellow cards in St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 44%.
Who is more likely to win St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Market line without margin: St. Louis City 34%, draw 25%, Vancouver Whitecaps 41%.