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Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby Town: prediction and statistics
England · Cup · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Stafford Rangers · Grimsby Town
Key facts
- Grimsby Town is the more likely winner in our model: 83%, draw 13%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 50% of Stafford Rangers’s home matches and 83% of Grimsby Town’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 3:3.
Result
Our model: Stafford Rangers win 4%, draw 13%, Grimsby Town win 83%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 29%.
Form
Stafford Rangers: last five matches — W-D-W-W-D.
- 7 matches unbeaten · at home
Grimsby Town: last five matches — L-L-L-D-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Team statistics for three seasons
Stafford Rangers at home and Grimsby Town away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Stafford Rangers | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Win rate | 67% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 83% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 83% |
| Total corners per match | — | 11.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | 100% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 50% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby Town?
Our model: Stafford Rangers 4%, draw 13%, Grimsby Town 83%.