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Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and statistics
England · Premier League · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Sunderland 5.3, Brighton & Hove Albion 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 57%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Sunderland 1.9, Brighton & Hove Albion 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 59%, typical match 50%.
Result
Market line without margin: Sunderland win 33%, draw 28%, Brighton & Hove Albion win 40%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Form
Sunderland: last five matches — W-W-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Brighton & Hove Albion: last five matches — L-D-L-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Sunderland — 14, Brighton & Hove Albion — 3 (of 21).
Team statistics for three seasons
Sunderland at home and Brighton & Hove Albion away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Sunderland | Brighton & Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 21 | 40 |
| Win rate | 48% | 35% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 8.8 | 10.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 38% | 70% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 48% | 40% |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Sunderland won 0, 2 draws, Brighton & Hove Albion won 1. Per match: 0.3 goals, 8.5 corners, 3.5 yellow cards.
- 14.03.2026: Sunderland 0:1 Brighton & Hove Albion
- 20.12.2025: Brighton & Hove Albion 0:0 Sunderland
- 23.08.2011: Brighton & Hove Albion 0:0 Sunderland
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.
How many yellow cards in Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 40%.
Who is more likely to win Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Market line without margin: Sunderland 33%, draw 28%, Brighton & Hove Albion 40%.