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SV Kapfenberg vs WSPG Wels: prediction and statistics
Austria · 2. Liga · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: SV Kapfenberg · WSPG Wels
Before kick-off
SV Kapfenberg host WSPG Wels in 2. Liga on 20 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — SV Kapfenberg are 14th, WSPG Wels 16th in a table of 16. Both sides are in the bottom three.
Results have gone against SV Kapfenberg recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. An uneven run for WSPG Wels: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 4 and 5.
The home record of SV Kapfenberg (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 16 wins, 5 draws and 14 defeats in 35 matches, 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Away from home WSPG Wels have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats in 20 matches, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.9 per game. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.4 per game in home matches of SV Kapfenberg and 3.5 in away matches of WSPG Wels.
History favours WSPG Wels — 2 wins from 3 meetings with SV Kapfenberg. Last time out (4 September 2026) it ended SV Kapfenberg 0:1 WSPG Wels. On average these meetings produce 3.3 goals.
Form
SV Kapfenberg: last five matches — W-L-L-L-D.
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
WSPG Wels: last five matches — D-W-L-D-L.
- 3 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: SV Kapfenberg — 14, WSPG Wels — 16 (of 16).
Home and away record
SV Kapfenberg at home and WSPG Wels away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| SV Kapfenberg | WSPG Wels | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 20 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 16-5-14 | 5-3-12 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: SV Kapfenberg won 1, 0 draws, WSPG Wels won 2. Per match: 3.3 goals.
- 04.09.2026: SV Kapfenberg 0:1 WSPG Wels
- 13.03.2026: WSPG Wels 3:1 SV Kapfenberg
- 12.09.2025: SV Kapfenberg 3:2 WSPG Wels
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model sees an open game: SV Kapfenberg 40%, draw 23%, WSPG Wels 37%.
- WSPG Wels has won 2 of the last 3 meetings with SV Kapfenberg.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 63% of SV Kapfenberg home games and 60% of WSPG Wels away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: SV Kapfenberg 2.0, WSPG Wels 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 48%).
Result
Our model: SV Kapfenberg win 40%, draw 23%, WSPG Wels win 37%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 65%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| SV Kapfenberg | WSPG Wels | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 46% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | 8.8 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 66% | 40% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 6.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.