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SV Meppen vs Havelse: prediction and statistics
Germany · 3. Liga · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: SV Meppen 5.7, Havelse 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 59%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: SV Meppen 2.0, Havelse 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: SV Meppen win 74%, draw 14%, Havelse win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 81%, both teams to score — 68%.
Form
SV Meppen: last five matches — W-W-L-L-D.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Havelse: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 9 matches without a win · away
- 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 losses in a row · away
Table: SV Meppen — 17, Havelse — 21 (of 21).
Team statistics for three seasons
SV Meppen at home and Havelse away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| SV Meppen | Havelse | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 23 |
| Win rate | 25% | 9% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 74% |
| Both teams score | 75% | 78% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 33% | 53% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 39% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: SV Meppen won 3, 0 draws, Havelse won 3. Per match: 3.7 goals, 10.0 corners, 5.0 yellow cards.
- 29.03.2025: Havelse 2:1 SV Meppen
- 28.09.2024: SV Meppen 4:0 Havelse
- 13.04.2024: SV Meppen 4:1 Havelse
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in SV Meppen vs Havelse?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 59%.
How many yellow cards in SV Meppen vs Havelse?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 44%.
Who is more likely to win SV Meppen vs Havelse?
Our model: SV Meppen 74%, draw 14%, Havelse 12%.