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Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and statistics

Germany · 3. Liga · 14 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

55%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Waldhof Mannheim 5.6, FC Ingolstadt 04 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 56%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 57%, typical match 57%.

Yellow cards

52%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Waldhof Mannheim 2.2, FC Ingolstadt 04 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 48%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 67%, typical match 66%.

Form

Waldhof Mannheim: last five matches — L-L-W-W-L.

FC Ingolstadt 04: last five matches — D-W-W-L-L.

Table: Waldhof Mannheim — 9, FC Ingolstadt 04 — 13 (of 21).

Team statistics for three seasons

Waldhof Mannheim at home and FC Ingolstadt 04 away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Waldhof MannheimFC Ingolstadt 04
Matches4242
Win rate48%33%
Goals scored per match1.51.8
Goals conceded per match1.31.5
Over 2.5 goals62%62%
Both teams score55%62%
Total corners per match10.310.3
Over 9.5 corners54%50%
Total yellow cards per match5.04.8
Over 4.5 yellow cards55%57%

Head to head

12 meetings in our database: Waldhof Mannheim won 2, 5 draws, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 5. Per match: 2.6 goals, 11.4 corners, 5.0 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.

How many yellow cards in Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 48%.

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