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Swindon Town vs Accrington ST: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Swindon Town 5.6, Accrington ST 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.3 yellow cards: Swindon Town 1.4, Accrington ST 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 23% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 59%, typical match 49%.
Result
Market line without margin: Swindon Town win 43%, draw 27%, Accrington ST win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Swindon Town: last five matches — W-W-W-L-L.
- 10 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Accrington ST: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 11 matches without a win · away
- 5 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Swindon Town — 13, Accrington ST — 21 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Swindon Town at home and Accrington ST away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Swindon Town | Accrington ST | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 49 | 49 |
| Win rate | 47% | 24% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 49% |
| Both teams score | 63% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | 10.8 | 9.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 65% | 53% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 59% |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: Swindon Town won 4, 3 draws, Accrington ST won 6. Per match: 3.6 goals, 10.9 corners, 4.1 yellow cards.
- 18.04.2026: Swindon Town 2:2 Accrington ST
- 18.10.2025: Accrington ST 4:0 Swindon Town
- 22.03.2025: Swindon Town 0:0 Accrington ST
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Swindon Town vs Accrington ST?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in Swindon Town vs Accrington ST?
Our model expects 3.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 23%.
Who is more likely to win Swindon Town vs Accrington ST?
Market line without margin: Swindon Town 43%, draw 27%, Accrington ST 29%.