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Talant vs Alga: prediction and statistics
Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 44% of Talant’s home matches and 54% of Alga’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Alga: 8 wins in 12 meetings with Talant.
Result
Final score 2:1.
Result
Our model: Talant win 27%, draw 25%, Alga win 48%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Talant: last five matches — L-W-L-W-L.
Alga: last five matches — W-L-W-D-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Talant — 9, Alga — 2 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Talant at home and Alga away, 2024–2026.
| Talant | Alga | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 41 |
| Win rate | 32% | 34% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 54% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Talant won 2, 2 draws, Alga won 8. Per match: 3.2 goals.
- 03.03.2026: Alga 2:1 Talant
- 28.09.2025: Alga 2:1 Talant
- 26.04.2025: Talant 1:2 Alga
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Talant vs Alga?
Our model: Talant 27%, draw 25%, Alga 48%.