Xpect
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eredivisie · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Telstar 5.1, ADO Den Haag 5.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Telstar 1.4, ADO Den Haag 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 73%, typical match 76%.
Result
Market line without margin: Telstar win 47%, draw 25%, ADO Den Haag win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 61%.
Form
Telstar: last five matches — W-W-L-L-D.
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
ADO Den Haag: last five matches — W-L-L-D-L.
- 8 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Telstar — 13, ADO Den Haag — 17 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Telstar at home and ADO Den Haag away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Telstar | ADO Den Haag | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 20 | 4 |
| Win rate | 25% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 10.7 | 13.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 75% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 15% | 0% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Telstar won 3, 5 draws, ADO Den Haag won 4. Per match: 2.1 goals, 9.3 corners, 2.9 yellow cards.
- 17.05.2025: ADO Den Haag 0:1 Telstar
- 13.05.2025: Telstar 2:0 ADO Den Haag
- 11.04.2025: Telstar 1:1 ADO Den Haag
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 27%.
Who is more likely to win Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
Market line without margin: Telstar 47%, draw 25%, ADO Den Haag 29%.