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Tenerife vs Cadiz: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Tenerife 5.4, Cadiz 3.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 57%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Tenerife 2.1, Cadiz 2.7; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 52% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 70%, typical match 75%.
Result
Market line without margin: Tenerife win 48%, draw 29%, Cadiz win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 44%.
Form
Tenerife: last five matches — W-W-W-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Cadiz: last five matches — D-D-L-D-L.
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Tenerife — 11, Cadiz — 19 (of 22).
Team statistics for three seasons
Tenerife at home and Cadiz away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Tenerife | Cadiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 24 | 44 |
| Win rate | 38% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 8.7 | 9.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 51% |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: Tenerife won 5, 5 draws, Cadiz won 3. Per match: 2.0 goals, 10.5 corners, 5.7 yellow cards.
- 23.03.2025: Tenerife 2:1 Cadiz
- 31.08.2024: Cadiz 2:2 Tenerife
- 27.06.2020: Cadiz 0:2 Tenerife
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Tenerife vs Cadiz?
Our model expects 9.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 43%.
How many yellow cards in Tenerife vs Cadiz?
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 52%.
Who is more likely to win Tenerife vs Cadiz?
Market line without margin: Tenerife 48%, draw 29%, Cadiz 23%.