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Tigres FC vs Real Santander: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera B · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards: Tigres FC 2.6, Real Santander 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 58% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 75%, typical match 76%.
Result
Market line without margin: Tigres FC win 52%, draw 27%, Real Santander win 21%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — —.
Form
Tigres FC: last five matches — L-L-W-W-D.
- 6 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Real Santander: last five matches — L-L-D-D-L.
- 23 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Tigres FC — 6, Real Santander — 16 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Tigres FC at home and Real Santander away, 2024–2026.
| Tigres FC | Real Santander | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 43 |
| Win rate | 38% | 7% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 38% | 35% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 56% |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Tigres FC won 7, 9 draws, Real Santander won 4. Per match: 1.8 goals, 3.3 yellow cards.
- 21.03.2026: Real Santander 1:1 Tigres FC
- 13.07.2025: Tigres FC 2:0 Real Santander
- 01.02.2025: Real Santander 1:0 Tigres FC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Tigres FC vs Real Santander?
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 58%.
Who is more likely to win Tigres FC vs Real Santander?
Market line without margin: Tigres FC 52%, draw 27%, Real Santander 21%.