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Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 14 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Toronto FC 6.0, Orlando City SC 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 60% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 60%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Toronto FC 1.9, Orlando City SC 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Toronto FC win 40%, draw 24%, Orlando City SC win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 71%.
Form
Toronto FC: last five matches — W-D-D-D-W.
- 16 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Orlando City SC: last five matches — D-W-L-L-L.
- 9 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Toronto FC — 27, Orlando City SC — 16 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Toronto FC at home and Orlando City SC away, 2024–2026.
| Toronto FC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 50 |
| Win rate | 29% | 34% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 74% |
| Both teams score | 73% | 66% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 60% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 38% | 46% |
Head to head
24 meetings in our database: Toronto FC won 10, 3 draws, Orlando City SC won 11. Per match: 3.2 goals, 9.5 corners, 4.2 yellow cards.
- 12.09.2026: Orlando City SC 3:0 Toronto FC
- 18.10.2025: Toronto FC 4:2 Orlando City SC
- 02.03.2025: Orlando City SC 4:2 Toronto FC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 60%.
How many yellow cards in Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 40%.
Who is more likely to win Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?
Market line without margin: Toronto FC 40%, draw 24%, Orlando City SC 36%.