Xpect
Treasure Beach vs Dunbeholden: prediction and statistics
Jamaica · Premier League · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Treasure Beach · Dunbeholden
Key facts
- 2 of the 5 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 42% of Treasure Beach home games and 44% of Dunbeholden away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Treasure Beach 43%, draw 27%, Dunbeholden 31%.
Result
Final score 1:1.
Result
Our model: Treasure Beach win 43%, draw 27%, Dunbeholden win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 51%.
Form
Treasure Beach: last five matches — W-L-D-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · at home
Dunbeholden: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 8 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 7 losses in a row · away
Table: Treasure Beach — 13, Dunbeholden — 11 (of 14).
Team statistics for three seasons
Treasure Beach at home and Dunbeholden away, 2024–2026.
| Treasure Beach | Dunbeholden | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 24 | 46 |
| Win rate | 21% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 28% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 11% |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Treasure Beach won 1, 2 draws, Dunbeholden won 2. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 26.04.2026: Treasure Beach 1:0 Dunbeholden
- 22.02.2026: Dunbeholden 4:2 Treasure Beach
- 07.01.2026: Treasure Beach 0:4 Dunbeholden
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Treasure Beach vs Dunbeholden?
Our model: Treasure Beach 43%, draw 27%, Dunbeholden 31%.