Xpect
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4.9, Atletico San Luis 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 45% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 55%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.9, Atletico San Luis 1.8; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 31% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 69%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: U.N.A.M. - Pumas win 49%, draw 27%, Atletico San Luis win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas: last five matches — L-L-D-D-W.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Atletico San Luis: last five matches — L-D-L-W-L.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: U.N.A.M. - Pumas — 12, Atletico San Luis — 13 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
U.N.A.M. - Pumas at home and Atletico San Luis away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Atletico San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 40 |
| Win rate | 43% | 28% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 65% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45% | 40% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 36% | 23% |
Head to head
14 meetings in our database: U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 9, 0 draws, Atletico San Luis won 5. Per match: 3.2 goals, 8.3 corners, 4.6 yellow cards.
- 18.04.2026: Atletico San Luis 0:2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
- 23.10.2025: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0:1 Atletico San Luis
- 03.02.2025: Atletico San Luis 2:3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Referee
Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez: 113 matches in our database, 4.0 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.4); over 4.5 cards in 36% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 45%.
How many yellow cards in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 31%.
Who is more likely to win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
Market line without margin: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 49%, draw 27%, Atletico San Luis 24%.