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U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 12 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 5.0, Cruz Azul 5.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2.1, Cruz Azul 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 64%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: U.N.A.M. - Pumas win 29%, draw 26%, Cruz Azul win 45%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas: last five matches — L-D-D-W-L.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Cruz Azul: last five matches — W-L-W-L-L.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: U.N.A.M. - Pumas — 12, Cruz Azul — 7 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
U.N.A.M. - Pumas at home and Cruz Azul away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 47 |
| Win rate | 42% | 49% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 68% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47% | 45% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 45% |
Head to head
30 meetings in our database: U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 7, 8 draws, Cruz Azul won 15. Per match: 2.8 goals, 9.5 corners, 4.3 yellow cards.
- 25.05.2026: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1:2 Cruz Azul
- 22.05.2026: Cruz Azul 0:0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
- 15.03.2026: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2:2 Cruz Azul
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.
How many yellow cards in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 36%.
Who is more likely to win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
Market line without margin: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 29%, draw 26%, Cruz Azul 45%.