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UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano: prediction and statistics
Peru · Primera División · 8 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.0 corners in the match: UCV Moquegua 4.6, Cienciano 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 41% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 59%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: UCV Moquegua 2.3, Cienciano 2.2; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 53%, typical match 42%.
Result
Market line without margin: UCV Moquegua win 28%, draw 26%, Cienciano win 45%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
UCV Moquegua: last five matches — D-D-D-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · at home
- 5 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Cienciano: last five matches — L-L-W-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: UCV Moquegua — 17, Cienciano — 7 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
UCV Moquegua at home and Cienciano away, 2024–2026.
| UCV Moquegua | Cienciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 48 |
| Win rate | 31% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 69% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 8.3 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 23% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 62% | 46% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: UCV Moquegua won 0, 0 draws, Cienciano won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals, 6.0 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.
- 20.04.2026: Cienciano 2:1 UCV Moquegua
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?
Our model expects 9.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 41%.
How many yellow cards in UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 47%.
Who is more likely to win UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?
Market line without margin: UCV Moquegua 28%, draw 26%, Cienciano 45%.