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Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Vancouver Whitecaps 6.3, DC United 3.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 59%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Vancouver Whitecaps 2.0, DC United 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 67%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Vancouver Whitecaps win 76%, draw 14%, DC United win 11%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 55%.
Form
Vancouver Whitecaps: last five matches — W-D-L-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
DC United: last five matches — W-D-D-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Vancouver Whitecaps — 2, DC United — 25 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Vancouver Whitecaps at home and DC United away, 2024–2026.
| Vancouver Whitecaps | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 45 |
| Win rate | 54% | 24% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 64% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 62% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 44% |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Vancouver Whitecaps won 1, 1 draws, DC United won 3. Per match: 2.8 goals, 9.8 corners, 3.2 yellow cards.
- 01.10.2023: Vancouver Whitecaps 2:2 DC United
- 18.08.2019: Vancouver Whitecaps 1:0 DC United
- 15.07.2018: DC United 3:1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Referee
Fotis Bazakos: 161 matches in our database, 4.0 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.2); over 4.5 cards in 41% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United?
Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 54%.
How many yellow cards in Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 48%.
Who is more likely to win Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United?
Market line without margin: Vancouver Whitecaps 76%, draw 14%, DC United 11%.