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VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and statistics
Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: VfL Osnabrück 5.5, Dynamo Dresden 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: VfL Osnabrück 1.9, Dynamo Dresden 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 60%, typical match 55%.
Result
Market line without margin: VfL Osnabrück win 36%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
VfL Osnabrück: last five matches — L-L-L-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Dynamo Dresden: last five matches — L-W-L-D-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: VfL Osnabrück — 11, Dynamo Dresden — 17 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
VfL Osnabrück at home and Dynamo Dresden away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| VfL Osnabrück | Dynamo Dresden | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 20 |
| Win rate | 33% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 75% |
| Total corners per match | 10.7 | 11.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 60% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 3.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 30% |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: VfL Osnabrück won 2, 2 draws, Dynamo Dresden won 6. Per match: 3.0 goals, 10.8 corners, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 12.04.2025: Dynamo Dresden 0:1 VfL Osnabrück
- 09.11.2024: VfL Osnabrück 0:3 Dynamo Dresden
- 02.04.2023: VfL Osnabrück 0:1 Dynamo Dresden
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 40%.
Who is more likely to win VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden?
Market line without margin: VfL Osnabrück 36%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 38%.