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Vila Nova vs Londrina: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 25 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.6 corners in the match: Vila Nova 6.0, Londrina 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards: Vila Nova 2.3, Londrina 2.8; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 57% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 57%, typical match 54%.
Result
Market line without margin: Vila Nova win 54%, draw 27%, Londrina win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 49%.
Form
Vila Nova: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 4 wins in a row · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
Londrina: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Vila Nova — 1, Londrina — 18 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Vila Nova at home and Londrina away, 2024–2026.
| Vila Nova | Londrina | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 14 |
| Win rate | 62% | 21% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 71% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 64% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 11.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 59% | 64% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.7 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 65% | 50% |
Head to head
17 meetings in our database: Vila Nova won 6, 3 draws, Londrina won 8. Per match: 2.1 goals, 10.8 corners, 4.5 yellow cards.
- 31.05.2026: Londrina 0:1 Vila Nova
- 10.11.2023: Vila Nova 4:1 Londrina
- 15.07.2023: Londrina 1:0 Vila Nova
Referee
Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho: 19 matches in our database, 5.1 yellow cards per match (competition average 5.0); over 4.5 cards in 67% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Vila Nova vs Londrina?
Our model expects 10.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 61%.
How many yellow cards in Vila Nova vs Londrina?
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 57%.
Who is more likely to win Vila Nova vs Londrina?
Market line without margin: Vila Nova 54%, draw 27%, Londrina 19%.