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Villarreal II vs Gimnastic: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 2 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Villarreal II · Gimnastic
Before kick-off
Villarreal II host Gimnastic in Primera Federación – Grupo 2 on 20 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Villarreal II are 2nd of 20, Gimnastic 11th — a gap of 9 places. Villarreal II are in the top three.
Villarreal II have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Gimnastic no victory — 2 draws and 3 defeats. Counted in points, Villarreal II took 8 from that stretch and Gimnastic only 2.
The home record of Villarreal II (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 19 wins, 17 draws and 8 defeats in 44 matches, 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Gimnastic find it hard on the road: 3 wins, 8 draws and 14 defeats in 25 away matches, 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
The 8 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Villarreal II 3, Gimnastic 2, draws 3. Last time out (8 February 2026) it ended Gimnastic 0:1 Villarreal II. On average these meetings produce 1.4 goals.
Form
Villarreal II: last five matches — D-L-W-W-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Gimnastic: last five matches — L-L-D-L-D.
- 15 matches without a win · away
- 6 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Villarreal II — 2, Gimnastic — 11 (of 20).
Home and away record
Villarreal II at home and Gimnastic away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Villarreal II | Gimnastic | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 25 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 19-17-8 | 3-8-14 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.6 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Villarreal II won 3, 3 draws, Gimnastic won 2. Per match: 1.4 goals.
- 08.02.2026: Gimnastic 0:1 Villarreal II
- 21.11.2025: Villarreal II 0:0 Gimnastic
- 13.08.2025: Villarreal II 1:0 Gimnastic
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 43% of Villarreal II home games and 32% of Gimnastic away games.
- Our model makes Villarreal II the favourite at 68%; a draw is 20%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Villarreal II 2.3, Gimnastic 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 53% (typical match — 57%).
Result
Our model: Villarreal II win 68%, draw 20%, Gimnastic win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 46%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Villarreal II | Gimnastic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 43% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 32% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 40% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 59% | 64% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.