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Vitesse vs NAC Breda: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 3 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Vitesse 5.0, NAC Breda 5.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Vitesse 1.7, NAC Breda 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 56%, typical match 43%.
Form
Vitesse: last five matches — L-D-L-W-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
NAC Breda: last five matches — L-W-D-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
Table: Vitesse — 9, NAC Breda — 10 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Vitesse at home and NAC Breda away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Vitesse | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 4 |
| Win rate | 38% | 50% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 100% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 100% |
| Total corners per match | 10.2 | 8.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 25% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 3.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 41% | 25% |
Head to head
31 meetings in our database: Vitesse won 11, 10 draws, NAC Breda won 10. Per match: 2.9 goals, 11.8 corners, 0.8 yellow cards.
- 02.03.2019: Vitesse 4:1 NAC Breda
- 09.12.2018: NAC Breda 2:1 Vitesse
- 07.04.2018: NAC Breda 1:0 Vitesse
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 57%.
How many yellow cards in Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 36%.