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Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva: prediction and statistics
Russia · First League · 14 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Volga Ulyanovsk · Torpedo Moskva
Before kick-off
First League, 14 November 2026: Volga Ulyanovsk are at home to Torpedo Moskva. Torpedo Moskva sit 3rd in the 18-team table while Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th, so 6 places separate the two sides. Torpedo Moskva are in the top three.
Recent results of Volga Ulyanovsk are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. Torpedo Moskva arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches.
Volga Ulyanovsk have not made their ground a fortress: 9 wins, 4 draws and 13 defeats in 26 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Torpedo Moskva travel well: 20 wins, 13 draws and 10 defeats in 43 away matches, with 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Head to head, Torpedo Moskva have the upper hand: 3 wins in 5 meetings with Volga Ulyanovsk in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished Torpedo Moskva 3:1 Volga Ulyanovsk. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
Volga Ulyanovsk: last five matches — L-D-W-D-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Torpedo Moskva: last five matches — D-W-W-W-D.
- 12 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 8 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Volga Ulyanovsk — 9, Torpedo Moskva — 3 (of 18).
Home and away record
Volga Ulyanovsk at home and Torpedo Moskva away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Volga Ulyanovsk | Torpedo Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 26 | 43 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 9-4-13 | 20-13-10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Volga Ulyanovsk won 2, 0 draws, Torpedo Moskva won 3. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 19.07.2026: Torpedo Moskva 3:1 Volga Ulyanovsk
- 22.06.2026: Torpedo Moskva 1:0 Volga Ulyanovsk
- 29.01.2026: Volga Ulyanovsk 1:2 Torpedo Moskva
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 31% – 28% – 41%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 46% of Volga Ulyanovsk’s home matches and 28% of Torpedo Moskva’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Torpedo Moskva: 3 wins in 5 meetings with Volga Ulyanovsk.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.2 corners in the match: Volga Ulyanovsk 3.8, Torpedo Moskva 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 31% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 8.5 — 57%, typical match 43%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Volga Ulyanovsk 2.0, Torpedo Moskva 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Volga Ulyanovsk win 31%, draw 28%, Torpedo Moskva win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 47%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Volga Ulyanovsk | Torpedo Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 35% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 28% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 40% |
| Total corners per match | 6.8 | 7.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 20% | 14% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 3.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 39% | 19% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 13.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.