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Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel SK: prediction and statistics
Belgium · Pro League · 9 October 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Waasland-Beveren 1.8, Lommel SK 1.6; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 55%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: Waasland-Beveren win 51%, draw 26%, Lommel SK win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Waasland-Beveren: last five matches — L-L-W-W-W.
- 6 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Lommel SK: last five matches — L-D-W-L-W.
- 7 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Waasland-Beveren — 10, Lommel SK — 12 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Waasland-Beveren at home and Lommel SK away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Waasland-Beveren | Lommel SK | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Win rate | 100% | 50% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 0% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 11.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 83% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 33% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel SK?
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 26%.
Who is more likely to win Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel SK?
Market line without margin: Waasland-Beveren 51%, draw 26%, Lommel SK 24%.