Xpect
Wanderers vs Albion FC: prediction and statistics
Uruguay · Primera División · 28 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards: Wanderers 2.6, Albion FC 2.7; typical match of the competition — 5.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 62% (typical match — 64%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 78%, typical match 80%.
Result
Market line without margin: Wanderers win 43%, draw 29%, Albion FC win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Wanderers: last five matches — D-W-D-W-D.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Albion FC: last five matches — D-L-L-L-L.
- 10 matches without a win · all competitions
- 7 losses in a row · all competitions
Table: Wanderers — 6, Albion FC — 10 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Wanderers at home and Albion FC away, 2024–2026.
| Wanderers | Albion FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 36 | 14 |
| Win rate | 39% | 36% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 42% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 12.0 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 100% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.5 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 64% | 64% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Wanderers won 0, 3 draws, Albion FC won 1. Per match: 1.8 goals, 4.5 yellow cards.
- 17.05.2026: Albion FC 0:0 Wanderers
- 25.03.2026: Albion FC 2:1 Wanderers
- 18.06.2022: Albion FC 1:1 Wanderers
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Wanderers vs Albion FC?
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 62%.
Who is more likely to win Wanderers vs Albion FC?
Market line without margin: Wanderers 43%, draw 29%, Albion FC 29%.