Watanga vs Discoveries: prediction and statistics

Liberia · LFA First Division · 4 November 2026 · kick-off 16:00 UTC

Team stats: Watanga · Discoveries

Key facts

• Over 2.5 goals happened in 53% of Watanga’s home matches and 41% of Discoveries’s away matches over three seasons.
• Draws are common in this fixture: 2 of 4 meetings.
• Watanga is the more likely winner in our model: 55%, draw 26%.

Result

Our model: Watanga win 55%, draw 26%, Discoveries win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 44%.

Form

Watanga: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.

• 11 matches unbeaten · all competitions
• 5 wins in a row · at home
• 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home

Discoveries: last five matches — W-W-D-L-D.

• 3 matches without a win · away

Table: Watanga — 1, Discoveries — 7 (of 15).

Team statistics for three seasons

Watanga at home and Discoveries away, 2023–2025.

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: Watanga won 1, 2 draws, Discoveries won 1. Per match: 1.5 goals.

• 29.04.2026: Discoveries 0:1 Watanga
• 19.10.2025: Watanga 1:1 Discoveries
• 16.02.2025: Watanga 1:1 Discoveries

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers