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Waterhouse vs Cavalier: prediction and statistics
Jamaica · Premier League · 3 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Waterhouse · Cavalier
Key facts
- Waterhouse is the more likely winner in our model: 54%, draw 25%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 39% of Waterhouse’s home matches and 39% of Cavalier’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 2:1.
Result
Our model: Waterhouse win 54%, draw 25%, Cavalier win 21%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 47%.
Form
Waterhouse: last five matches — W-L-W-D-W.
- 7 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Cavalier: last five matches — D-W-L-D-L.
- 3 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Waterhouse — 3, Cavalier — 6 (of 14).
Team statistics for three seasons
Waterhouse at home and Cavalier away, 2024–2026.
| Waterhouse | Cavalier | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 46 | 46 |
| Win rate | 46% | 43% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 39% |
| Both teams score | 37% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 15% | 13% |
Head to head
39 meetings in our database: Waterhouse won 15, 13 draws, Cavalier won 11. Per match: 2.2 goals, 1.3 yellow cards.
- 13.05.2026: Waterhouse 0:2 Cavalier
- 11.05.2026: Cavalier 2:2 Waterhouse
- 22.03.2026: Waterhouse 2:1 Cavalier
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Waterhouse vs Cavalier?
Our model: Waterhouse 54%, draw 25%, Cavalier 21%.