Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United: prediction and statistics

Australia · A-League · 20 November 2026 · kick-off 08:40 UTC

Team stats: Western Sydney Wanderers · Adelaide United

Before kick-off

A-League, 20 November 2026: Western Sydney Wanderers are at home to Adelaide United. Western Sydney Wanderers sit 2nd in the 12-team table while Adelaide United are 12th, so 10 places separate the two sides. Western Sydney Wanderers are part of the leading group. Adelaide United are in the bottom three.

An uneven run for Western Sydney Wanderers: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Adelaide United have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 7 against 6.

At home (2024/25–2026/27) Western Sydney Wanderers have 10 wins, 6 draws and 12 defeats in 28 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The away record of Adelaide United: 11 wins, 8 draws and 11 defeats in 30 matches, with 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded on average. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.4 per game in home matches of Western Sydney Wanderers and 3.6 in away matches of Adelaide United.

Head to head there is no clear master over 40 meetings — wins: Western Sydney Wanderers 13, Adelaide United 14; draws: 13. The most recent meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Western Sydney Wanderers 2:4 Adelaide United. On average these meetings produce 3.4 goals.

Form

Western Sydney Wanderers: last five matches — L-L-D-W-W.

4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
3 matches unbeaten · at home

Adelaide United: last five matches — W-W-L-L-L.

5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
5 matches without a win · all competitions
5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions

Table: Western Sydney Wanderers — 2, Adelaide United — 12 (of 12).

Home and away record

Western Sydney Wanderers at home and Adelaide United away, 2024/25–2026/27.

	Western Sydney Wanderers	Adelaide United
Matches	28	30
Wins · draws · losses	10-6-12	11-8-11
Goals scored per match	1.8	1.7
Goals conceded per match	1.6	1.9

Head to head

40 meetings in our database: Western Sydney Wanderers won 13, 13 draws, Adelaide United won 14. Per match: 3.4 goals.

20.03.2026: Western Sydney Wanderers 2:4 Adelaide United
27.12.2025: Adelaide United 3:2 Western Sydney Wanderers
07.11.2025: Adelaide United 2:0 Western Sydney Wanderers

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Open in the app →Download for Android

Key facts

Western Sydney Wanderers is the more likely winner in our model: 54%, draw 22%.
Over 2.5 goals happened in 61% of Western Sydney Wanderers’s home matches and 73% of Adelaide United’s away matches over three seasons.

Corners

61%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.6 corners in the match: Western Sydney Wanderers 5.3, Adelaide United 5.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.9. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 65%).

Yellow cards

65%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Western Sydney Wanderers 2.0, Adelaide United 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 40%).

Result

Our model: Western Sydney Wanderers win 54%, draw 22%, Adelaide United win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 60%.

Team statistics for three seasons

	Western Sydney Wanderers	Adelaide United
Win rate	36%	37%
Over 2.5 goals	61%	73%
Both teams score	68%	80%
Total corners per match	10.2	10.2
Over 9.5 corners	64%	63%
Total yellow cards per match	3.1	3.4
Over 4.5 yellow cards	21%	23%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 11.6 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.0 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.