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Wologizi vs Shaita: prediction and statistics

Liberia · LFA First Division · 8 November 2026 · kick-off

Key facts

Result

Final score 2:1.

Result

Our model: Wologizi win 42%, draw 23%, Shaita win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 63%.

Form

Wologizi: last five matches — D-L-D-W-W.

Shaita: last five matches — W-L-L-W-L.

Team statistics for three seasons

Wologizi at home and Shaita away, 2023–2025.

WologiziShaita
Matches1413
Win rate50%31%
Goals scored per match1.71.6
Goals conceded per match1.02.1
Over 2.5 goals50%69%
Both teams score57%77%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match——
Over 4.5 yellow cards——

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win Wologizi vs Shaita?

Our model: Wologizi 42%, draw 23%, Shaita 35%.

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