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Zanaco vs Man Utd Zambia Academy: prediction and statistics
Zambia · Super League · 4 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Zanaco · Man Utd Zambia Academy
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 35% – 32% – 33%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 26% of Zanaco’s home matches and 35% of Man Utd Zambia Academy’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 4 of 8 meetings.
Result
Final score 2:2.
Result
Our model: Zanaco win 35%, draw 32%, Man Utd Zambia Academy win 33%. Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 38%.
Form
Zanaco: last five matches — W-D-W-L-D.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Man Utd Zambia Academy: last five matches — L-W-D-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Zanaco at home and Man Utd Zambia Academy away, 2024–2026.
| Zanaco | Man Utd Zambia Academy | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 34 |
| Win rate | 43% | 35% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% | 35% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 35% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Zanaco won 1, 4 draws, Man Utd Zambia Academy won 3. Per match: 2.1 goals.
- 07.02.2026: Zanaco 0:1 Man Utd Zambia Academy
- 16.08.2025: Man Utd Zambia Academy 0:0 Zanaco
- 09.02.2025: Zanaco 0:2 Man Utd Zambia Academy
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Zanaco vs Man Utd Zambia Academy?
Our model: Zanaco 35%, draw 32%, Man Utd Zambia Academy 33%.