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Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Aldosivi 5.4, Sarmiento Junin 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 53%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Aldosivi 2.3, Sarmiento Junin 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 55% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 73%, typical match 74%.
Result
Market line without margin: Aldosivi win 38%, draw 31%, Sarmiento Junin win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 45%.
Form
Aldosivi: last five matches — D-L-L-W-W.
Sarmiento Junin: last five matches — L-W-L-W-L.
Table: Aldosivi — 29, Sarmiento Junin — 18 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Aldosivi at home and Sarmiento Junin away, 2024–2026.
| Aldosivi | Sarmiento Junin | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 29 | 42 |
| Win rate | 24% | 19% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 45% |
| Total corners per match | 9.1 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 35% | 43% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 62% | 60% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Aldosivi won 2, 4 draws, Sarmiento Junin won 6. Per match: 2.1 goals, 9.9 corners, 5.1 yellow cards.
- 22.03.2026: Sarmiento Junin 2:0 Aldosivi
- 14.09.2025: Sarmiento Junin 2:0 Aldosivi
- 01.03.2025: Aldosivi 2:2 Sarmiento Junin
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.
How many yellow cards in Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 55%.
Who is more likely to win Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?
Market line without margin: Aldosivi 38%, draw 31%, Sarmiento Junin 31%.