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Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and statistics
Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Arminia Bielefeld · 1. FC Magdeburg
Before kick-off
2. Bundesliga, 20 November 2026: Arminia Bielefeld are at home to 1. FC Magdeburg. They are neighbours in the table: Arminia Bielefeld are 6th and 1. FC Magdeburg 4th of 18.
Few sides are in better shape than Arminia Bielefeld right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. 1. FC Magdeburg are still looking for a win: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 11 for Arminia Bielefeld against 2 for 1. FC Magdeburg.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Arminia Bielefeld have 10 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats in 22 matches, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The away record of 1. FC Magdeburg: 17 wins, 7 draws and 15 defeats in 39 matches, with 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.3 per game in home matches of Arminia Bielefeld and 3.3 in away matches of 1. FC Magdeburg.
Head to head there is no clear master over 6 meetings — wins: Arminia Bielefeld 3, 1. FC Magdeburg 2; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished 1. FC Magdeburg 0:2 Arminia Bielefeld. On average these meetings produce 2.7 goals.
Form
Arminia Bielefeld: last five matches — D-D-W-W-W.
- 14 matches unbeaten · at home
- 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
1. FC Magdeburg: last five matches — L-D-L-L-D.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Arminia Bielefeld — 6, 1. FC Magdeburg — 4 (of 18).
Home and away record
Arminia Bielefeld at home and 1. FC Magdeburg away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1. FC Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 22 | 39 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 10-7-5 | 17-7-15 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.5 |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Arminia Bielefeld won 3, 1 draws, 1. FC Magdeburg won 2. Per match: 2.7 goals.
- 15.02.2026: 1. FC Magdeburg 0:2 Arminia Bielefeld
- 12.09.2025: Arminia Bielefeld 2:0 1. FC Magdeburg
- 28.05.2023: 1. FC Magdeburg 4:0 Arminia Bielefeld
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 37% – 21% – 41%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 73% of Arminia Bielefeld’s home matches and 62% of 1. FC Magdeburg’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Arminia Bielefeld: 5.5 against 4.4 for 1. FC Magdeburg.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Arminia Bielefeld 5.5, 1. FC Magdeburg 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 61%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Arminia Bielefeld 2.0, 1. FC Magdeburg 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 64%, typical match 64%.
Result
Our model: Arminia Bielefeld win 37%, draw 21%, 1. FC Magdeburg win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 73%, both teams to score — 72%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1. FC Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 45% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 62% |
| Both teams score | 73% | 64% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 55% | 64% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 41% | 46% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.