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SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Heidenheim: prediction and statistics

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 20 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

2. Bundesliga, 20 November 2026: SV Darmstadt 98 are at home to 1. FC Heidenheim. 1. FC Heidenheim sit 7th in the 18-team table while SV Darmstadt 98 are 17th, so 10 places separate the two sides. SV Darmstadt 98 are fighting at the wrong end of the table.

Recent results of SV Darmstadt 98 are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. Results have gone against 1. FC Heidenheim recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games.

At home (2024/25–2026/27) SV Darmstadt 98 have 20 wins, 12 draws and 8 defeats in 40 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. The away record of 1. FC Heidenheim: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 6 matches, with 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average.

Head to head there is no clear master over 22 meetings — wins: SV Darmstadt 98 6, 1. FC Heidenheim 10; draws: 6. The most recent meeting, on 28 April 2024, finished SV Darmstadt 98 0:1 1. FC Heidenheim. On average these meetings produce 2.7 goals.

Form

SV Darmstadt 98: last five matches — L-W-W-D-D.

1. FC Heidenheim: last five matches — W-D-L-L-L.

Table: SV Darmstadt 98 — 17, 1. FC Heidenheim — 7 (of 18).

Home and away record

SV Darmstadt 98 at home and 1. FC Heidenheim away, 2024/25–2026/27.

SV Darmstadt 981. FC Heidenheim
Matches406
Wins · draws · losses20-12-82-1-3
Goals scored per match1.71.5
Goals conceded per match1.12.0

Head to head

22 meetings in our database: SV Darmstadt 98 won 6, 6 draws, 1. FC Heidenheim won 10. Per match: 2.7 goals.

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Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Over 2.5 goals happened in 50% of SV Darmstadt 98’s home matches and 83% of 1. FC Heidenheim’s away matches over three seasons.
  • Our model expects more corners from 1. FC Heidenheim: 6.3 against 4.4 for SV Darmstadt 98.
  • No clear favourite in our model: 43% – 22% – 35%.

Corners

62%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.7 corners in the match: SV Darmstadt 98 4.4, 1. FC Heidenheim 6.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 62% (typical match — 55%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 62%, typical match 55%.

Yellow cards

66%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: SV Darmstadt 98 1.9, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 45%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 66%, typical match 56%.

Result

Our model: SV Darmstadt 98 win 43%, draw 22%, 1. FC Heidenheim win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 70%.

Team statistics for three seasons

SV Darmstadt 981. FC Heidenheim
Win rate50%33%
Over 2.5 goals50%83%
Both teams score53%83%
Total corners per match10.710.7
Over 9.5 corners57%67%
Total yellow cards per match4.64.2
Over 4.5 yellow cards53%33%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 10.9 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.9 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

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